About Business Cycle Analytics

Business Cycle Analytics is an authority on the South African business cycle. With a solid understanding of the country’s economic history, Business Cycle Analytics provides reliable real time and forward looking information on the SA business cycle

Market-driven economic activity fluctuates. This results in what is commonly known as the business cycle. The business cycle is invisible; however, every firm – small, medium or large – have to navigate it. Getting the business cycle wrong will cost your firm dearly, either through financial losses, unsatisfactory growth and/or unnecessary retrenchment, etc.
Adding insult to injury, we live in a world of radical uncertainty, being caught amidst deep structural change. This increases the level and intensity of volatility.
It is BCA’s business to provide economic intelligence, which facilitates executive decisions that account for the trajectory of the business cycle. BCA achieves this by separating the noise from fundamental tendencies in the economy and in identifying turning points in company sales cycles. This information is carefully disseminated to executives and economic policy makers, assisting with decision-making.
BCA collaborates with reputable economic research institutions and economists. BCA values permanent intellectual deepening and skills development and BCA’s reputation is grown from uncompromising client satisfaction.

“When you adopt a cyclical worldview, your outlook will be in the minority whenever the chance of an economic turning point is high”

Achuthan & Banerji

Services

Business Cycle Analytics Services - Fair value of the RS exchange rate

Business cycle analysis

Business Cycle Analytics primary focus is to locate a company, industry or sector on the SA business cycle. Reliability in this regard empowers decision-makers with valuable knowledge whether the current time is, amongst others, appropriate to cut costs/down-size, consolidate or expand, for instance

Fair value of the RS exchange rate

Business Cycle Analytics uses comprehensive econometric modelling to estimate the rand’s equilibrium (or fair) value versus the US dollar. A reliable handle regarding this value facilitates decisions regarding the rand exchange rate, e.g. when to cover import/export transactions; externalise capital, etc.

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